Tag Archives: Seahawks

2015 NFL Playoffs (Wildcard) are finally here!

Today begins the NFL Playoffs. Even though this is the Wildcard Weekend, I still can’t wait to see how the games shake out. After all, this website is devoted to NFL football, so I only have a few precious weeks left to enjoy games.

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First up is the Chiefs-Texans game. How did Houston get into the Playoffs? I remember watching HBO’s “Hard KNocks” this summer and thinking, “no way can this team get into the playoffs.  Sure they have JJ Watt and Arian Foster, but it was only a matter of time before Foster got hurt (Alfred Blue is no Arian Foster). Watt can’t carry the team by himself. They surprised me though and made it in. Now they have to go against the hottest team in the NFL, the Kansas City Chiefs, with Jeremy Maclin and Alex Smith. Good luck there!

aj mccarron, alabama, ben roethlisberger, pittsburgh steelers, cincinnati bengals, katherine webb

The Steelers vs Bengals game is the one I am most excited to watch. No Andy Dalton? Maybe AJ McCarron looks to get Cincy off the schneid. Hopefully the cameras will pan to AJ’s smoking hot wife. Sorry, lost my train of thought. Can the Bengals beat the Steelers? Judging by Big Ben’s comments this week about Martavis Bryant, I doubt it. With the recent PSA from a local Cincinnati radio station claiming that “This is a severe Big Ben Roethlisberger update from 700WLW. The tri-state is currently under a severe Big Ben warning from now through early Sunday morning”,  I would think that the Bengals need to be more worried than the local women of the area. Big Ben will be throwing to Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant and Marcus Wheaton, especially with DeAngelo Williams out. Even though McCarron has AJ Green and Tyler Eifert, he has never played in the NFL Playoffs. The Bengals have also lost 7 straight Post-Season games. Edge to the Steelers, in my opinion.

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The Seahawks play the Vikings in Minneso-cold. Is Beastmode playing? What about Linval Joseph? Not sure but this game looks to have the excitement coming from Russell Wilson vs. Adrian Petersen. I think the edge will go to Russell Wilson, who reminds Minnesotans of Fran Tarkenton, but with a much better Super Bowl record (the last loss for Tarkenton was to the Raiders in Super Bowl XI). Tarkenton is in the Hall of Fame but I bet he would love to see the Minnesota Vikings as World Champs. May not happen the way Seattle has been playing

rodgers vs cousins copyLast but not least, the Packers play the Redskins…in Washington! Who would have thought that Washington, would be hosting Aaron Rodgers and the Pack? Remember RG3? Neither do we. Kirk Cousins is the man in DC now.  You like that?! You like that?!  DeSean Jackson and Kirk Cousins lead the way for the Skins against a struggling Green Bay team.  The reason I say struggling is due to their injury situation.  Most teams are banged up right now but the Packers have been hit pretty hard, especially on the O-Line.  Aaron Rodgers will try to carry the offense but with Kirk Cousins and the West Coast offense he is running this could be a shootout. Does Rodgers still have enough bullets to pull it out even with 18 players on their injured list?  Normally I might say yes but Cousins and the Skins are tearing it up right now. I see the Redskins and DeSean Jackson’s “Chip” on his shoulder winning this one at home. See what I did their with the Chip Kelly reference.

Let the games begin!

– the4519

Does the NFL exploit the poor?

According to Bryant Gumbel, the NFL is exploiting the poor and it isn’t even a good product:

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Malcolm Gladwell has written that within 25 years, it will be socially unacceptable to be a football player. I think that’s fast-forwarding the process. But I don’t dispute the idea that that’s what it’s going to come to. That’s what is to a certain extent already. It’s a game played by the poor for the benefit of the rich.

None of these prep schools have football teams. You look at where football flourishes. It flourishes in the poorest states. It flourishes in Mississippi, in Alabama, in West Virginia, Texas.

It’s because it’s an opportunity for people who don’t have education, or job opportunities, to make something of themselves, to get out. To a certain extent, it’s already close to being a game played by the poor for the benefit of the rich. They’re not giving away tickets to Giants stadium. You sit up in a luxury box the guys down there on the field don’t come from your background. I don’t know. Will we get there? I think we’ll get there. At what point, I don’t know. 

For all of its flaws—and there are a zillion of them—as an entertainment product on the television landscape, sports is still pretty good. I think the NFL probably is not a very good product now. But college football’s a pretty good product. I feel guilty watching it.


I read this from Bryant Gumbel this morning and wondered where the idea that the NFL exploits the poor and is a “not a very good product” came from?

If we are comparing the NFL to the S&P 500 I would say the NFL is an average product.  If I were to compare the NFL as a sports product, I would say it is the one of the best brands in the world.  Everyone has opinions about professional sports, good or bad.  Some people love to watch the game on Sunday, some people don’t.  That’s ok.  There are plenty of museums or movie theaters that get plenty of patrons regardless of what sports event is on at any given time.  If you aren’t into the NFL there is no one putting a gun to your head making you watch.

Bryant Gumbel on the today show

I get tired of people like Bryant Gumbel always bagging on the NFL.  When he says the NFL is a game that exploits the poor to benefit the rich, we know what he is talking about.  Gumbel ironically started out his career as a co-host of an NFL pregame show called “Grandstand” in 1975.  He co-hosted until 1982.  7 years covering the NFL…before it was the billion dollar monster it is now.  Hmm….seems to me like Bryant helped build the brand.  So if Bryant Gumbel has such a problem with the NFL exploiting the poor, why did he take jobs in the past to help promote the product?  Why did his brother, Greg Gumbel, host NFL Super Bowls and countless NFL games and television shows if the league is so exploitative?  I think the answer is simple: poor is code word for black.  Reading through some of Gumbel’s controversial comments over the years I see the evolution of a person who used the system to springboard his career to get where he wanted.  For all of its warts, I love the NFL.  I love the game, I love the fans, I love the players and the teams.  If someone feels the need to bash the sport, then go ahead.  You have the right to your opinions and there are plenty of other great sports out there.  To me,  it seems to make no difference that on Bryant Gumbel’s climb to the top he forgot where he started.  Ironically, he may have exploited the NFL to get him to where he is now, even if he is not poor (or black).

-the 4519

Who should be NFL Offensive Rookie of the year?

When it comes to recent rookies in the NFL, there are not a lot of players who stand out like Odell Beckham Jr. did last year.  Labeled the only rookie to “run the entire route tree” by Panthers general manager Dave Gettleman, he only played in 12 games!  He fended off Mike Evans, from the Buccaneers, and some Guard named Zack Martin, from the Cowboys, in the 2014 NFL Offensive Rookie of the year voting.  It was not even close. Beckham got 42 votes, Zack Martin got 7, Mike Evans 1.  Personally, I am not sure why a guard was even in the running, but as a former linemen in the NFL I am proud that he represented all fat guys so well.

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Back to rookies.  There is a player, named Thomas Rawls, that is making some waves.  He has been filling in for “Beast Mode” most of the year and he is balling.

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He has only started 5 games so far this year and he is already in the top ten of rushing.  What’s more impressive is this:  he is the first player in NFL history with more than 250 yards, a rushing touchdown and a receiving touchdown in the same game.  History!  Can you say #FIRE!  I love watching Marshawn running the pill so at worst, the Seahawks have a stable in the barn they can count on.  Not sure if he will end up as rookie of the year, considering the other young players that are emerging (Amari Cooper, Jameis Winston, Todd Gurley, etc) but he just outplayed Adrian Petersen so you never know.

– “the 4519”

NFL Fantasy Football Overvalued Players

Matt Forte's fantasy value could be overvalued with a new coach in town

If there’s one mistake to avoid, it’s picking players who are valued higher than they should be. Of course there’s no way of knowing for sure what a player will accomplish this upcoming season, but there are underlying factors that should be mentioned to at least quell some of the hype that’s been put out there.

After all, this is football, and crazy things happen before and during a season. Just ask all the Adrian Petersonowners from a year ago. Sure that’s a completely different case, but there are circumstances that should make you think about why these guys are going as high as they are. To help, we’ve asked our featured experts to name players at each position who are overvalued.

Expert Pick Recap

Expert Overvalued QB Overvalued RB Overvalued WR
Kevin Roberts (Breaking Football) Russell Wilson (SEA) Matt Forte (CHI) Antonio Brown (PIT)
Liz Loza (Yahoo) Drew Brees (NO) Carlos Hyde (49ers) Kevin White (CHI)
Eric Moody (FFLockerRoom) Cam Newton (CAR) Todd Gurley (STL) Emmanuel Sanders (DEN)
Wayne Bretsky (BretskyBall) Russell Wilson (SEA) Todd Gurley (STL) Kelvin Benjamin (CAR)

Q1. Name the RB you believe is the most overvalued according to our RB ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

Matt Forte (CHI)
Consensus RB ADP: #6
“Forte isn’t going to be as good as he was in 2014 or really as good as we’re accustomed to seeing. Marc Trestman’s system ballooned his value at an insane rate. He caught 70+ balls (102 last year) in each of the past two years and had previously topped even 57 just once. Now 29 and never a huge touchdown scorer, I think Forte as the 6th best RB is a reach. In a new system with a somewhat reduced role, I’m looking at Forte as the 11th best back with a possible decline on its way. The hit will be felt more in PPR leagues, but in general I think Forte regresses a bit.”
Kevin Roberts (Breaking Football)

Todd Gurley (STL)
Consensus RB ADP: #20
“He is less than a year removed from ACL surgery. Gurley’s ADP represents a great deal of optimism from the fantasy community. Hope is not a strategy. I would prefer to draft other players with the same amount of upside at his current ADP. Tre Mason will be more valuable than many people think. The Rams are not going to rush Gurley back onto the field.”
Eric Moody (FFLockerRoom)

“Rookie Todd Gurley, currently coming off the board as the 20th running back on average, is a dicey proposition as he hobbles his way into his first NFL season. While it’s difficult to set high expectations for any rookie, it is even more tough to envision one (even an immensely talented one) having success after missing much of the preseason while rehabbing a torn ACL. Gurley is unlikely to have a large role in the early part of the season and the presence of 2014 breakout Tre Mason will give the Rams the ability to work him in slowly as we move into the fall. Pass on Gurley as the RB20 and look further down the list to potential bell cows Joseph Randle, LaGarrette Blount, Doug Martin or Chris Ivory as your second or third back.”
Wayne Bretsky (BretskyBall)

Carlos Hyde (49ers)
Consensus RB ADP: #17
“There are a lot of question marks surrounding the 49ers. One thing we do know is that they’re going to have to pass. A lot. That means a less than optimal game script for Hyde. With rumors of Geep Chryst leaning towards a committee approach, I’m backing off of Hyde.”
Liz Loza (Yahoo)

Q2. Name the WR you believe is the most overvalued according to our WR ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

Kelvin Benjamin (CAR)
Consensus WR ADP: #14
“Benajmin put together a phenomenal season during his 2014 rookie campaign, showing ability to win downfield and make plays for his quarterback. He also flashed inconsistency at times, proving to be a raw route runner with questionable hands. Down the stretch last season, the Panthers got back to their old ground-and-pound identity, riding Jonathan Stewart and a dominating front seven to smother opponents. Add in the fact the rookie Devin Funchess provides a second solid target for Cam Newton and you have a recipe for Benjamin to be a disappointment when drafting him as a top-15 wide receiver. Take a look lower down on the list at potential target monsters Andre Johnson, Julian Edelman or Keenan Allen rather than chasing Benjamin’s 1000-yard, nine touchdown rookie performance.”
Wayne Bretsky (BretskyBall)

Emmanuel Sanders (DEN)
Consensus WR ADP: #13
“He has publicly stated that it will be difficult to replicate his 2014 production this upcoming season. New Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak’s offensive scheme revolves around three things: a zone blocking rushing attack, leveraging the tight ends in the receiving game, and relentlessly feeding the X wide receiver with targets. Sanders will not have enough opportunities to justify his high ADP.”
Eric Moody (FFLockerRoom)

Kevin White (CHI)
Consensus WR ADP: #32
“We all know the “John Fox hates rookies” narrative, which makes getting on the field early even more important for White. Plus, his quarterback favors familiarity more than most. While White is gifted with incredible athletic attributes, an understanding of Adam Gase’s offense is what will help him to ascend immediately. There’s potential for him to emerge midseason and he’s likely to have a few flashy plays, but I don’t see him catching more than 40 balls by season’s end.”
Liz Loza (Yahoo)

Antonio Brown (PIT)
Consensus WR ADP: #1
“I know I should probably bite my tongue but Antonio Brown as the consensus #1 is scary to me. I know he was amaze balls the past two years and probably is still a top-five guy but career years are rarely topped/repeated. He’s in a great offense but he also has solid talent around him trying to bust out (Sammie Coates, Markus Wheaton and of course Martavis Bryant). My biggest thing with Brown, though, is that he’s not a big WR so his TD upside might be a little more curbed than some might want to think. I see the talent, production and upside, but that top portion of the WR group is stacked. I’m not seeing what 100% makes him the pick over the other elite receivers.”
Kevin Roberts (Breaking Football)

Q3. Name the QB you believe is the most overvalued according to our QB ADP Rankings and tell us why you feel that way.

Russell Wilson (SEA)
Consensus QB ADP: #4
“I think Russell Wilson is slightly overrated. He’s absolutely a QB1 and a top-10 guy, but being drafted as the fourth quarterback or higher (Yahoo, ESPN, NFL.com) is a bit rich for me. Wilson did inherit Jimmy Graham, but this is still a guy who is restricted by a run-heavy system and his elite production in 2014 stemmed from ridiculous rushing totals. If there’s one thing we’ve learned, it’s that QB rushing scores/yardage are difficult to compute, let alone trust. I still like him as a borderline top-5 option, but I don’t like the price I’d have to pay to land him.”
Kevin Roberts (Breaking Football)

“While there are few real world QBs that are more desirable to pilot an offense than Russell Wilson, his current draft cost (QB4, 35th overall) is just far to steep to take the plunge. Wilson’s legs give him a solid week-to-week floor and his touchdown potential is certainly improved by the presence of Jimmy Graham, however, the volume is just not there. Of the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks last season, Wilson was the only one to attempt fewer than 520 passes. His fantasy success in 2015 was largely tied to the 800+ yards and six touchdowns that he put together on the ground and after the Seahawks made a huge investment in their franchise QB, it stands to reason that they’ll want to protect their most valuable asset and limit his exposure to injury. Volume is a fantasy owner’s best friend and Russell Wilson is a bit lacking when it comes to putting the ball in the air, leaving him as a risky investment with a top-40 overall pick.”
Wayne Bretsky (BretskyBall)

Drew Brees (NO)
Consensus QB ADP: #5
“Last year his passing yards and touchdown totals were the lowest they’d been since 2010. Heading into 2015, he’s got a second year receiver (who only started seven games his rookie year) and a 32-year-old vet as his primary receiving weapons. In an offense moving towards the run and without Jimmy Graham (who accounted for a quarter of red zone targets), Brees’ productivity will take a hit.”
Liz Loza (Yahoo)

Cam Newton (CAR)
Consensus QB ADP: #9
He finished as a top five fantasy quarterback his first three NFL seasons, but injuries derailed his fourth. Newton’s passing numbers, rushing attempts, and rushing yards continue to trend downward each season. I would rather wait a few rounds and draft Ryan Tannehill or Eli Manning.
Eric Moody (FFLockerRoom)

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